Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.013979 0.015666 0.017372 0.019221 0.021164 0.023139 0.025295
2025-05-18 0.010751 0.013326 0.016051 0.019122 0.022461 0.025959 0.029880
2025-05-25 0.008699 0.011683 0.014954 0.018743 0.022959 0.027460 0.032586
2025-06-01 0.007252 0.010519 0.014215 0.018602 0.023577 0.028969 0.035187
2025-06-08 0.005997 0.009425 0.013432 0.018296 0.023909 0.030074 0.037261
2025-06-15 0.005127 0.008697 0.012994 0.018317 0.024550 0.031470 0.039606
2025-06-22 0.004218 0.007822 0.012307 0.017982 0.024727 0.032299 0.041278
2025-06-29 0.003351 0.006904 0.011496 0.017440 0.024616 0.032759 0.042495
2025-07-06 0.002484 0.005875 0.010467 0.016570 0.024065 0.032673 0.043055
2025-07-13 0.002164 0.005600 0.010392 0.016858 0.024878 0.034148 0.045384
2025-07-20 0.001749 0.005122 0.010008 0.016732 0.025169 0.034999 0.046980
2025-07-27 0.001336 0.004580 0.009498 0.016413 0.025202 0.035528 0.048187
2025-08-03 0.001052 0.004240 0.009292 0.016533 0.025842 0.036855 0.050425
2025-08-10 0.000751 0.003803 0.008921 0.016434 0.026219 0.037889 0.052350
2025-08-17 0.000468 0.003294 0.008392 0.016084 0.026250 0.038484 0.053736
2025-08-24 0.000285 0.002925 0.008042 0.015954 0.026542 0.039379 0.055464
2025-08-31 0.000136 0.002527 0.007602 0.015670 0.026617 0.039997 0.056852
2025-09-07 0.000061 0.002280 0.007388 0.015690 0.027073 0.041070 0.058772
2025-09-14 0.000007 0.001936 0.006961 0.015380 0.027082 0.041582 0.060012
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001562 0.006426 0.014879 0.026819 0.041743 0.060818
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001143 0.005719 0.014076 0.026122 0.041344 0.060933
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001064 0.005712 0.014342 0.026864 0.042741 0.063217
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000894 0.005469 0.014225 0.027076 0.043466 0.064681